Location: Remotely Date: Friday 6th August Company: Independent & Commodity Discovery Fund Role: Bitcoin Quant Analyst & Chairman
In early 2019, PlanB released his now widely regarded Stock-to-Flow model (S2F). This model was built around the four-year halving cycle and is a way to track the scarcity of an asset.
At current levels of issuance, Bitcoin has a stock-to-flow of 50, meaning it would take 50 years for miners to mine enough Bitcoin to match the current Bitcoin supply. When applied to non-digital assets such as gold and silver, stock-to-flow becomes a benchmarking tool. Gold, for example, has a stock to flow number of ~58, slightly higher than Bitcoin.
While the Stock-to-Flow model is an incredibly popular tool amongst bitcoiners, it is not without its critics, and with Bitcoin’s drop from ~$64k to ~$29k, the model is coming under increasing scrutiny.
So, is the model broken, or is Bitcoin still heading for $100k+ this year?
In this interview, I talk to Bitcoin Quant Analyst & creator of the popular Stock-to-Flow model, Plan₿ and investor, entrepreneur & publicist Willem Middelkoop. We discuss S2F, gold vs Bitcoin and whether we are heading to a big reset.
