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David Puell & Checkmate | Data-Driven Bitcoin Analysis | EP 130

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On this episode of Swan Signal, Sam dug deep into the world of on-chain analysis with James Check and David Puell, exploring their new framework called Cointime Economics, and looking at trends on-chain that may signal a new bull market could be imminent.

"Cointime Economics: A New Framework for Bitcoin on-chain Analysis"
https://20368641.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/20368641/Cointime%20Economics%20%5BDIGITAL%20SINGLE%5D.pdf

00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:02:05 Introducing Checkmate and David Puell
00:02:37 “Cointime Economics: A New Framework for Bitcoin On-Chain Analysis”
00:04:30 What is a “UTXO”?
00:06:41 Flaws of Traditional UTXO Analysis
00:08:55 “Lost Coins”
00:10:29 “Coin-days Destroyed”
00:13:13 Measuring “Liveliness” in Bitcoin
00:18:44 “Vaultedness” - Measuring Conviction for a Bitcoin Bull Case
00:23:22 What is a “Coin-Block”?
00:26:11 “The REAL Average Cost Basis” - Cointime: True Market Deviation (AVIV Ratio)
00:35:47 Determining How Coins are Actually Lost
00:38:40 “MVRV” - Comparing Market Value to Realize Value
00:43:46 “Sell-Side Risk Ratio”
00:51:20 What Checkmate and David are Seeing in the On-Chain Data
00:56:28 Limitations with On-Chain Analytics
00:59:54 The Most “Signal to Noise” OnChain Metrics
01:03:10 How to Connect with Checkmate and David
01:04:38 “Swan Signal” Outro

Connect with Sam, David, and Checkmate:
Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallah
David Puell: https://twitter.com/dpuellARK
James Check: https://twitter.com/_Checkmatey_

Connect with Swan Bitcoin:
YouTube: https://youtube.com/@Swan_Bitcoin
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan
Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin
Telegram: https://t.me/swanbitcoin
LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin

Swan Bitcoin does not provide any investment, financial, tax, legal or other professional advice. We recommend that you consult with financial and tax advisors to understand the risks and consequences of buying, selling and holding Bitcoin.

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