TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

Ten31 Timestamp: Mr. Warsh, I Don't Feel So Good

While US and Chinese leaders exchanged niceties in Beijing, bond markets were selling off hard. Thirty-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2007, inflation prints came in hot, and the Strait of Hormuz start...

2026-05-18 Video Audio

Episode notes

While US and Chinese leaders exchanged niceties in Beijing, bond markets were selling off hard. Thirty-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2007, inflation prints came in hot, and the Strait of Hormuz started looking like a live test of Bitcoin as money for enemies.


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In this episode:


US-China summit theater and what was actually accomplished


Global bond yields hitting highs not seen since 2007


Hot CPI and PPI prints versus the AI productivity narrative


Treasury repo "dirty tricks" and lending against its own debt


Strait of Hormuz fallout: motor oil, sulfur, fertilizer, and helium


Iran's IRGC demanding Bitcoin for passage insurance


TIMESTAMPS:


00:00:00 - US-China summit and CEO theater


00:01:06 - Beijing's holding pattern


00:02:11 - Bond markets send the real signal


00:04:18 - Hot inflation prints and Fed fears


00:05:55 - AI productivity or transitory 2.0?


00:07:26 - 1999 Cisco chart echoes


00:09:00 - Hormuz physical supply shocks


00:11:06 - US debt math and sovereign spiral


00:13:09 - Treasury repo market creativity


00:16:26 - Japan hyperinflation warnings


00:17:13 - China refinery cuts: who blinks first


00:18:44 - Iran's Bitcoin-only Hormuz insurance


00:21:21 - Bitcoin as money for enemies


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