Episode notes
Marty sits down with James Pierog to discuss Bitcoin Prediction Market.
James on Twitter: https://x.com/BillyHongBeats
Bitcoin Prediction Market: https://www.bitcoinprediction.info/
0:00 - Intro
1:38 - Arriving at Bitcoin Prediction Market
12:03 - Comparing to Polymarket and crypto model
16:37 - Unchained & Coinkite
18:31 - Prediction algorithm
21:30 - Predicting and potentially preventing conflicts
30:41 - BOLT12, ecash and DLCs
37:28 - Zaprite and SOTE
39:01 - BPM vs Polymarket UX simplicity
44::36 - Oracle problem and centralization
49:13 - Trust and debt
57:06 - Singapore's authoritarianism unlocked bitcoin for James
1:08:32 - Psychic powers and tools for liberation
1:24:37 - Feather forks and ordinals
1:31:17 - Monetizing art and industry power games
1:38:35 - Adoption inertia and timing
1:43:34 - Native use case and exchange theory of value
1:47:27 - Final thoughts
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