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RWH015: Betting Better in Markets & Life w/ Annie Duke

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IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

  • 12:49 - How Annie Duke got sick, quit academia, & became a professional poker player.
  • 18:24 - How poker taught her to “embrace uncertainty” & recognize the limits of what we know.
  • 27:26 - How a legendary poker champion taught her to think more rationally about luck & loss.
  • 37:45 - Why it’s important to think probabilistically—and how to strengthen this skill.
  • 41:49 - How Annie helped a venture capital firm to improve its decision-making process.
  • 44:54 - What skills & insights can be transferred from the game of poker to the game of investing.
  • 51:36 - Why Annie never owned Bitcoin or NFTs.
  • 55:13 - How to develop “kill criteria” that will help you decide when to sell an investment.
  • 1:00:31 - Why we tend to make terrible investment decisions when we’re losing money. 
  • 1:06:29 - How to think rationally about whether to quit your job.
  • 1:12:11 - How our sense of identity & tribalism can wreck our ability to revise our beliefs.
  • 1:27:53 - Why Daniel Kahneman has a “quitting coach”—and why you should have one, too.
  • 1:42:18 - Why it’s invaluable to open your mind to other people’s dissenting views.


Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.


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