Episode notes
Stephen Perrenod on Bitcoin, Power law and Gold Flippening.If you want a 1on1 call with me: https://cal.com/robinseyr/bitcoinstrategyTake your Self-Custody seriously and get a Microseed:https://microseed.ioWant to mine Bitcoin? I personally use Simple Mining:https://www.simplemining.io/robinseyrBitcoin's own growth model says the price should be around $137,000 today. It is at $65,000.Astrophysicist Stephen Perrenod walks through the peer reviewed derivation behind that gap: why Bitcoin's price follows a power law with an R² above 0.95, why the same curve shows up against six major fiat currencies and four commodities, and what the model points to next. His read is roughly $300,000 by spring 2028, with an explicit factor of two uncertainty band, and one Bitcoin worth a 400 ounce gold bar by 2034.We also cover why the model would only be falsified below $17,000, why inflation adjustment barely changes the slope, and why a company adopting a Bitcoin treasury is really trying to turn itself from a company into a city.Stephen Perrenod is a Harvard trained astrophysicist, co-author of the peer reviewed paper "Mechanistic Derivation of the Bitcoin Price Power Law" published in Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, and a director at the Scientific Bitcoin Institute. He wrote the foreword to The Physics of Bitcoin.CHAPTERS00:00 The Power Law Held Through The Drawdown08:26 Exponential Growth Versus Power Law Growth15:53 The Internet Followed The Same Growth Law25:55 The Peer Reviewed Derivation Behind The Number34:07 Where The Model Says Price Should Be Now41:05 One Bitcoin For One Gold Bar By 203448:28 Companies Die, Cities Last, Treasuries Choose57:19 The Case For $300K By Spring 2028Not financial advice. Just a self custody maxi doing the math. And the math assumes the past repeats, which it does not have to.⚠️ DisclaimerThis content is for educational and/or entertainment purposes only.The views expressed by Robin Seyr and his guests are their own and do not constitute financial advice.Nothing in the title, thumbnail, description, or video/audio is to be interpreted as investment, tax, or legal advice.I am not a financial advisor and do not provide financial services as defined by MiCA or other financial regulations.Mentioning or featuring any product, service, or company does not imply endorsement.Some links may be affiliate links — using them helps support the show at no extra cost to you.Always do your own research. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves risk and may not be suitable for everyone.Viewers and listeners are responsible for complying with their local laws and regulations.
